GAME DAY
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Southeast Missouri State a 57% chance.
SeriesSoutheast Missouri State leads 11–8 · Southeast Missouri State won the last meeting, 28–12 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
TNST win
43% One-score game
38%
43% One-score game
38%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) SEMO
Home-field edge TNST
Model projection SEMO
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Southeast Missouri St @ Tennessee St
Your sims:Sims: TNST 0, SEMO 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Southeast Missouri State vs Tennessee State Stats ComparisonSEMO vs TNST Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Southeast Missouri StateSEMO | Tennessee StateTNST | |
|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | PPG | 13.5 |
| 29.5 | PA/G | 44.5 |
| 268 | YDS/G | 231.5 |
| 208 | PASS/G | 182 |
| 60 | RUSH/G | 49.5 |
| 4 | YDS/PLAY | 3.5 |
| 38.7% | 3RD DOWN | 50.0% |
| 0.07 | OFF PPA | 0.06 |
| 0.21 | DEF PPA | 0.51 |
| 31.1% | OFF SUCCESS | 37.0% |
| 34.2% | DEF SUCCESS | 56.8% |
| 1.52 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.10 |
| −1 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Nissan StadiumLocationNashville, TN
Capacity69,143
SurfaceTurf
Opened1999
Elevation397 ft
FAN NEWS
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