GAME DAY
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Southeast Missouri State a 51% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 1–1 · Gardner-Webb won the last meeting, 27–24 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
SEMO win
51% One-score game
38%
51% One-score game
38%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) GWEB
Home-field edge SEMO
Model projection SEMO
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Gardner-Webb @ Southeast Missouri St
Your sims:Sims: SEMO 0, GWEB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Gardner-Webb vs Southeast Missouri State Stats ComparisonGardner-Webb vs SEMO Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Gardner-WebbGWEB | Southeast Missouri StateSEMO | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | PPG | 16.5 |
| 26 | PA/G | 29.5 |
| 391 | YDS/G | 268 |
| 345 | PASS/G | 208 |
| 46 | RUSH/G | 60 |
| 5.2 | YDS/PLAY | 4 |
| 34.5% | 3RD DOWN | 38.7% |
| 0.07 | OFF PPA | 0.07 |
| 0.12 | DEF PPA | 0.21 |
| 39.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 31.1% |
| 36.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 34.2% |
| 1.12 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.52 |
| −1 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Houck FieldLocationCape Girardeau, MO
Capacity10,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1930
Elevation400 ft
FAN NEWS
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