GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Gardner-Webb a 55% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 1–1 since 2024 · Gardner-Webb won the last meeting, 27–24 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
SEMO win
45% One-score game
39%
45% One-score game
39%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) GWEB
Home-field edge SEMO
Model projection GWEB
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Gardner-Webb @ Southeast Missouri St
Your sims:Sims: SEMO 0, GWEB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Gardner-Webb
Lat UT Martin17–6Lvs Eastern Illinois21–7Wat Charleston Southern12–10
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Gardner-Webb vs Southeast Missouri State Stats ComparisonGardner-Webb vs SEMO Stats Comparison
| Gardner-WebbGWEB | Southeast Missouri StateSEMO | |
|---|---|---|
| 19.6 | PPG | 24.4 |
| 22.5 | PA/G | 23.6 |
| 336.2 | YDS/G | 333.8 |
| 242 | PASS/G | 200.6 |
| 94.2 | RUSH/G | 133.1 |
| 4.8 | YDS/PLAY | 4.7 |
| 31.7% | 3RD DOWN | 38.4% |
| 35.4% | OFF SUCCESS | 38.5% |
| 33.7% | DEF SUCCESS | 33.5% |
| 1.23 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.23 |
| −8 | TO MARGIN | −3 |
| -0.07 | OFF PPA | 0.04 |
| -0.08 | DEF PPA | 0.05 |
| -15.3 | SRS | -21.3 |
THE VENUE
Houck FieldLocationCape Girardeau, MO
Capacity10,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1930
Elevation400 ft
FAN NEWS
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