Valparaiso @ Dayton, Week 10 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·VAL radioBeacon Radio / WVUR
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Valparaiso a 18% chance.
SeriesDayton leads 17–3 · Dayton won the last meeting, 41–10 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) DAY
Home-field edge DAY
Model projection DAY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Valparaiso @ Dayton
Your sims:Sims: VAL 0, DAY 0
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Valparaiso vs Dayton Stats ComparisonValparaiso vs Dayton Stats Comparison
2026 stats| ValparaisoVAL | DaytonDAY | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 43 |
| – | PA/G | 20 |
| – | YDS/G | 437 |
| – | PASS/G | 186 |
| – | RUSH/G | 251 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 6.2 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 27.3% |
| – | TO MARGIN | +3 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.17 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.10 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 38.9% |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 35.8% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Welcome StadiumLocationDayton, OH
Capacity11,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1949
Elevation730 ft
FAN NEWS
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