Wagner @ California, Week 3 · 2026

WAG@

GAME DAY

Week 3 · ·
WagnerWAG

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives California a 98% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY
CAL 98% WAG 2%
PROJECTED FINAL
Wagner
11
CAL win
98%
One-score game
5%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SP+) CAL
Home-field edge CAL
Model projection CAL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Wagner @ California

Your sims:Sims: CAL 0, WAG 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

California vs Wagner Stats ComparisonCalifornia vs Wagner Stats Comparison

2025 stats
CaliforniaCALWagnerWAG
25.3#86PPG
27.2#82PA/G
357.8#89YDS/G
40.4%#613RD DOWN

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

California Memorial Stadium
LocationBerkeley, CA
Capacity62,467
SurfaceTurf
Opened1923
Elevation411 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 3 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#11@#9
CFB VIBES MODELMISS 53% to win
#23@#12
CFB VIBES MODELTTU 80% to win
#19@#24
CFB VIBES MODELLOU 55% to win
@#1
CFB VIBES MODELOSU 99% to win
PRST@#2
CFB VIBES MODELORE 99% to win
#3@
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 84% to win
@#4
CFB VIBES MODELND 96% to win
@#5
CFB VIBES MODELTEX 95% to win