Consensus spread, total and line movement for one priced California game, plus championship futures and the season win-total ladder. The team is #7 in the ACC championship market at 4% and #25 in the national market at 1%.
ACC CHAMPIONSHIP
| # | TEAM | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Miami | down 1 today56% | |
| 2 |  SMU | 13% | |
| 3 |  Boston College | 11% | |
| 4 |  Louisville | 9% | |
| 5 |  Virginia | 8% | |
| 6 |  Clemson | 7% | |
| 7 |  California | 4% | |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh | 4% | |
| 9 |  Virginia Tech | 4% | |
| 10 |  Georgia Tech | 3% | |
| 11 |  Duke | 2% | |
| 12 |  Florida State | 2% | |
| 13 |  North Carolina | 1% | |
| 14 |  NC State | down 2 today1% | |
| 15 |  Stanford | 1% | |
| 16 |  Syracuse | 1% | |
| 17 |  Wake Forest | 1% |
NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
| # | TEAM | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Notre Dame | 13% | |
| 2 |  Ohio State | 13% | |
| 3 |  Texas | 12% | |
| 4 |  Oregon | 11% | |
| 5 |  Georgia | 10% | |
| 6 |  Indiana | 10% | |
| 7 | Miami | 8% | |
| 8 |  LSU | 6% | |
| 9 |  Alabama | 4% | |
| 10 |  Oklahoma | up 1 today4% | |
| 11 |  Texas Tech | 4% | |
| 12 |  Michigan | 3% | |
| 13 |  Ole Miss | 3% | |
| 14 |  Texas A&M | 3% | |
| 15 |  Florida | 2% | |
| 16 |  Penn State | 2% | |
| 25 | California | 1% |
HEISMAN TROPHY
| # | PLAYER | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CJ Carr | 12% | |
| 2 | Arch Manning | 10% | |
| 3 | Darian Mensah | down 1 today9% | |
| 4 | Dante Moore | down 1 today8% | |
| 5 | Jeremiah Smith | up 1 today7% | |
| 6 | Julian Sayin | 7% | |
| 7 | Trinidad Chambliss | down 1 today7% | |
| 8 | Josh Hoover | 5% | |
| 9 |  Jayden Maiava | 4% | |
| 10 | John Mateer | 4% | |
| 11 | Marcel Reed | 4% | |
| 12 | Sam Leavitt | 4% | |
| 13 | Gunner Stockton | 3% | |
| 14 | Keelon Russell | down 1 today3% | |
| 15 |  LaNorris Sellers | 3% | |
| 16 |  Bear Bachmeier | 2% | |
| 17 | Bryce Underwood | 2% | |
| 18 |  Byrum Brown | 2% | |
| 19 |  Demond Williams Jr. | 2% | |
| 21 | Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele | 2% |
MARKET FAVORS 7+ WINS · MOST LIKELY: 6 (16%)
Live Kalshi prices. Regular-season wins only, so conference title games, bowls and playoff games do not count. "Most likely" is each total's own share, derived from the ladder.
CALIFORNIA 2026 PROJECTED RECORD: 5–7
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
| MATCHUP | KICKOFF | VIBES WIN% | SPREAD | MOVE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UCLA@California | 55%45% | −1.5+1.5 | 3 ▼ | 53.5 | |
| California@Syracuse | 52%48% | TBD | – | TBD | |
| Wagner@California | 3%97% | TBD | – | TBD | |
| Clemson@California | 65%35% | TBD | – | TBD | |
California@ UNLV | 38%62% | TBD | – | TBD | |
| Virginia Tech@California | TBD | 54%46% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Wake Forest@California | TBD | 41%59% | TBD | – | TBD |
| California@SMU | TBD | 21%79% | TBD | – | TBD |
| California@NC State | TBD | 33%67% | TBD | – | TBD |
| California@Virginia | TBD | 28%72% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Stanford@California | TBD | 28%72% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Pittsburgh@California | TBD | 48%52% | TBD | – | TBD |
VIBES WIN% is our simulator's chance for California. Spread, total and move are a sportsbook consensus (▲ moved toward the favorite, ▼ away; TBD = no line posted yet). Tap any kickoff for per-provider lines and the full simulator, or start with Prediction Markets 101 →