Washington @ USC, Week 5 · 2026
#17
@#14
@#14GAME DAY
Week 5 · TBDUSC radioTrojan Media Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives USC a 64% chance.
SeriesUSC leads 52–32–4 · Washington won the last meeting, 26–21 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) USC
Home-field edge USC
Model projection USC
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Washington @ USC
Your sims:Sims: USC 0, WASH 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3USC
USC2026: 1–0 (0–0 B1G)
Wvs San José State42–26USC2026: 1–0 (0–0 B1G)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
USC vs Washington Stats ComparisonUSC vs Washington Stats Comparison
2025 stats| USCUSC | WashingtonWASH | |
|---|---|---|
| 35.8#13 | PPG | 34.1#17 |
| 23#51 | PA/G | 18.7#15 |
| 465.2#8 | YDS/G | 411.2#38 |
| 296#5 | PASS/G | 244.5#52 |
| 169.2#56 | RUSH/G | 166.8#57 |
| 7.2#3 | YDS/PLAY | 6.4#22 |
| 51.3%#5 | 3RD DOWN | 50.3%#9 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | +5#35 |
| 0.34#4 | OFF PPA | 0.29#19 |
| 0.15#64 | DEF PPA | 0.06#19 |
| 49.0%#8 | OFF SUCCESS | 48.9%#10 |
| 44.8%#115 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.0%#29 |
| 59.2% | RET PROD | 54.4% |
| 1.34#21 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26#53 |
| 17.7 | SP+ | 15.8 |
| 17.0#13 | FPI | 9.9#26 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Memorial ColiseumLocationLos Angeles, CA
Capacity77,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1923
Elevation139 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 5 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
