Consensus spread, total and line movement for six priced USC games, plus championship futures and the season win-total ladder. The team is #5 in the Big Ten championship market at 6% and #18 in the national market at 2%.
BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP
| # | TEAM | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ohio State | 31% | |
| 2 |  Oregon | 26% | |
| 3 |  Indiana | 24% | |
| 4 |  Michigan | 6% | |
| 5 |  USC | 6% | |
| 6 |  Penn State | 5% | |
| 7 |  Iowa | 2% | |
| 8 |  UCLA | 2% | |
| 9 |  Washington | 2% | |
| 10 |  Illinois | 1% | |
| 11 |  Maryland | 1% | |
| 12 |  Michigan State | 1% | |
| 13 |  Minnesota | 1% | |
| 14 |  Nebraska | 1% | |
| 15 |  Northwestern | 1% | |
| 16 |  Purdue | 1% | |
| 17 |  Rutgers | 1% | |
| 18 |  Wisconsin | 1% |
NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
| # | TEAM | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Notre Dame | 13% | |
| 2 | Ohio State | 13% | |
| 3 |  Texas | 12% | |
| 4 | Oregon | 11% | |
| 5 |  Georgia | 10% | |
| 6 | Indiana | 10% | |
| 7 |  Miami | 8% | |
| 8 |  LSU | 6% | |
| 9 |  Alabama | 4% | |
| 10 |  Texas Tech | 4% | |
| 11 | Michigan | 3% | |
| 12 |  Oklahoma | 3% | |
| 13 |  Ole Miss | 3% | |
| 14 |  Texas A&M | 3% | |
| 15 |  Florida | 2% | |
| 16 | Penn State | 2% | |
| 17 |  Tennessee | 2% | |
| 18 | USC | 2% |
HEISMAN TROPHY
| # | PLAYER | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CJ Carr | 12% | |
| 2 | Arch Manning | 10% | |
| 3 | Darian Mensah | down 1 today9% | |
| 4 | Dante Moore | down 1 today8% | |
| 5 | Jeremiah Smith | up 1 today7% | |
| 6 | Julian Sayin | 7% | |
| 7 | Trinidad Chambliss | down 1 today7% | |
| 8 | Josh Hoover | 5% | |
| 9 | Jayden Maiava | 4% | |
| 10 | John Mateer | 4% | |
| 11 | Keelon Russell | 4% | |
| 12 | Marcel Reed | 4% | |
| 13 | Sam Leavitt | 4% | |
| 14 | Gunner Stockton | 3% | |
| 15 |  LaNorris Sellers | 3% | |
| 16 |  Bear Bachmeier | 2% | |
| 17 | Bryce Underwood | 2% | |
| 18 |  Byrum Brown | 2% | |
| 19 | Demond Williams Jr. | 2% | |
| 20 |  Drew Mestemaker | 2% | |
| 21 |  Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele | 2% | |
| 22 |  Kevin Jennings | 2% | |
| 23 | Malachi Toney | 2% | |
| 24 | Rocco Becht | 2% | |
| 25 | Will Hammond | 2% | |
| 26 |  Ahmad Hardy | 1% | |
| 27 | Austin Mack | 1% | |
| 28 | Bo Jackson | 1% | |
| 29 | Brendan Sorsby | 1% |
COACH OF THE YEAR
| # | COACH | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcus Freeman | down 3 today19% | |
| 2 | Curt Cignetti | down 1 today10% | |
| 3 | Brent Venables | up 4 today7% | |
| 4 | Steve Sarkisian | down 1 today7% | |
| 5 | Dan Lanning | 6% | |
| 6 | Mario Cristobal | 6% | |
| 7 |  James Franklin | up 1 today5% | |
| 8 | Lane Kiffin | 5% | |
| 9 | Matt Campbell | 5% | |
| 10 | Mike Elko | down 1 today5% | |
| 11 | Bob Chesney | 4% | |
| 12 | Kirby Smart | 4% | |
| 13 | Lincoln Riley | 4% | |
| 14 | Pete Golding | 4% | |
| 15 | Ryan Day | 4% | |
| 16 | Joey McGuire | 3% | |
| 17 | Kalen DeBoer | down 1 today3% | |
| 18 | Kyle Whittingham | 3% | |
| 19 |  Bill Belichick | 2% | |
| 20 |  Deion Sanders | 2% | |
| 21 | Jon Sumrall | 2% | |
| 22 | Josh Heupel | 2% | |
| 23 | Matt Rhule | 2% | |
| 24 |  Clark Lea | 1% | |
| 25 |  Jerry Mack | 1% | |
| 26 |  Jim Mora | 1% | |
| 27 | Kalani Sitake | down 2 today1% | |
| 28 | Tie/Co-Winners | 1% | |
| 29 |  Tony Elliott | 1% |
Live Kalshi prices. Regular-season wins only, so conference title games, bowls and playoff games do not count. These strikes are quoted on thin offseason books and currently disagree with each other, so each price is shown as-is and no overall total is drawn from them.
USC 2026 PROJECTED RECORD: 7–4
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
| MATCHUP | KICKOFF | VIBES WIN% | SPREAD | MOVE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fresno State@USC | 9%91% | +22.5−22.5 | 1 ▼ | 51.5 | |
 Louisiana@USC | 3%97% | TBD | – | TBD | |
| USC@Rutgers | 76%24% | TBD | – | TBD | |
| Oregon@USC | TBD | 64%36% | −5.5+5.5 | – | 58.5 |
| Washington@USC | TBD | 35%65% | TBD | – | TBD |
| USC@Penn State | TBD | 46%54% | +1.5−1.5 | – | 56.5 |
| USC@Wisconsin | TBD | 74%26% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Ohio State@USC | TBD | 69%31% | −7.5+7.5 | – | 54.5 |
| USC@Indiana | TBD | 26%74% | +10−10 | – | 58.5 |
| Maryland@USC | TBD | 15%85% | TBD | – | TBD |
| USC@UCLA | TBD | 75%25% | −10.5+10.5 | – | 55.5 |
VIBES WIN% is our simulator's chance for USC. Spread, total and move are a sportsbook consensus (▲ moved toward the favorite, ▼ away; TBD = no line posted yet). Tap any kickoff for per-provider lines and the full simulator, or start with Prediction Markets 101 →