Western Illinois @ Wisconsin, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Wisconsin opens a 38.5-point favorite. Our model gives Wisconsin a 99% chance.
SeriesWisconsin leads 3–0 · Wisconsin won the last meeting, 37–3 · 2014
99% One-score game
4% Cover WIS −38.5
45%
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: WIS 0, WIU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $32,081 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Western Illinois vs Wisconsin Stats ComparisonWIU vs Wisconsin Stats Comparison
| Western IllinoisWIU | WisconsinWIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 37.5 | PPG | 13 |
| 27.5 | PA/G | 41 |
| 427 | YDS/G | 284 |
| 240.5 | PASS/G | 217 |
| 186.5 | RUSH/G | 67 |
| 6.2 | YDS/PLAY | 4.7 |
| 46.4% | 3RD DOWN | 38.5% |
| 0.24 | OFF PPA | 0.07 |
| 0.14 | DEF PPA | 0.35 |
| 47.5% | OFF SUCCESS | 37.7% |
| 37.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 46.0% |
| 1.18 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26 |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | −2 |
| – | RET PROD | 31.0% |
| – | ELO | 1475 |
| – | SP+ | -1.5 |
| – | FPI | 3.8#53 |
THE VENUE
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