Consensus spread, total and line movement for one priced TCU game, plus championship futures and the season win-total ladder. The team is #9 in the Big 12 championship market at 3% and #44 in the national market at 1%.
BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP
| # | TEAM | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Texas Tech | 53% | |
| 2 |  BYU | 13% | |
| 3 |  Utah | 12% | |
| 4 |  Arizona | 5% | |
| 5 |  Houston | 5% | |
| 6 |  Kansas State | 5% | |
| 7 |  Oklahoma State | 5% | |
| 8 |  Arizona State | 3% | |
| 9 |  TCU | 3% | |
| 10 |  Colorado | 2% | |
| 11 |  UCF | 2% | |
| 12 |  West Virginia | 2% | |
| 13 |  Baylor | 1% | |
| 14 |  Cincinnati | 1% | |
| 15 |  Iowa State | 1% | |
| 16 |  Kansas | 1% |
MARKET FAVORS 7+ WINS · MOST LIKELY: 7 (24%)
Live Kalshi prices. Regular-season wins only, so conference title games, bowls and playoff games do not count. "Most likely" is each total's own share, derived from the ladder.
TCU 2026 PROJECTED RECORD: 8–3
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
| MATCHUP | KICKOFF | VIBES WIN% | SPREAD | MOVE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grambling@TCU | 1%99% | TBD | – | TBD | |
 Arkansas State@TCU | 7%93% | TBD | – | TBD | |
| TCU@UCF | TBD | 59%41% | TBD | – | TBD |
| BYU@TCU | TBD | 54%46% | TBD | – | TBD |
| TCU@Baylor | TBD | 54%46% | TBD | – | TBD |
| West Virginia@TCU | TBD | 18%82% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Kansas@TCU | TBD | 26%74% | TBD | – | TBD |
| TCU@Arizona | 40%60% | TBD | – | TBD | |
| Kansas State@TCU | TBD | 39%61% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Utah@TCU | TBD | 41%59% | TBD | – | TBD |
| TCU@Texas Tech | 15%85% | +16.5−16.5 | – | 55.5 |
VIBES WIN% is our simulator's chance for TCU. Spread, total and move are a sportsbook consensus (▲ moved toward the favorite, ▼ away; TBD = no line posted yet). Tap any kickoff for per-provider lines and the full simulator, or start with Prediction Markets 101 →
