GAME DAY
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Tarleton State an 86% chance.
SeriesAbilene Christian leads 4–2 since 2013 · Abilene Christian won the last meeting, 31–28 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) TAR
Home-field edge TAR
Model projection TAR
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Abilene Christian @ Tarleton St
Your sims:Sims: TAR 0, ACU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Abilene Christian
Wat North Alabama31–28Wvs Central Arkansas20–14Wvs West Florida35–7
Tarleton State
Wat West Georgia49–6Wvs Central Arkansas49–35Wat Austin Peay40–32
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Abilene Christian vs Tarleton State Stats ComparisonACU vs TAR Stats Comparison
| Abilene ChristianACU | Tarleton StateTAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.9 | PPG | 41.9 |
| 25.2 | PA/G | 22.6 |
| 331.4 | YDS/G | 506.4 |
| 192.6 | PASS/G | 297.4 |
| 138.8 | RUSH/G | 209 |
| 5.4 | YDS/PLAY | 8 |
| 45.5% | 3RD DOWN | 44.9% |
| 0.09 | OFF PPA | 0.37 |
| 0.21 | DEF PPA | 0.14 |
| 43.8% | OFF SUCCESS | 50.3% |
| 43.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 40.8% |
| 1.16 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.38 |
| −5 | TO MARGIN | +11 |
| -30.1 | SRS | -16.3 |
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationStephenville, TX
Capacity24,000
SurfaceTurf
Elevation1,319 ft
FAN NEWS
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