GAME DAY
Week 10 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Tarleton State a 69% chance.
SeriesAbilene Christian leads 4–2 · Abilene Christian won the last meeting, 31–28 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) TAR
Home-field edge TAR
Model projection TAR
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Abilene Christian @ Tarleton St
Your sims:Sims: TAR 0, ACU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Abilene Christian vs Tarleton State Stats ComparisonACU vs TAR Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Abilene ChristianACU | Tarleton StateTAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | PPG | 34.5 |
| 27 | PA/G | 21.5 |
| 276 | YDS/G | 484.5 |
| 163 | PASS/G | 240 |
| 113 | RUSH/G | 244.5 |
| 4.5 | YDS/PLAY | 7.9 |
| 39.3% | 3RD DOWN | 40.0% |
| 0.20 | DEF PPA | 0.18 |
| 29.4% | OFF SUCCESS | 49.6% |
| 44.7% | DEF SUCCESS | 41.7% |
| 1.37 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14 |
| −2 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| -0.01 | OFF PPA | 0.27 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationStephenville, TX
Capacity24,000
SurfaceTurf
Elevation1,319 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Abilene Christian or Tarleton State?
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