Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State, Week 10 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·StreamingESPN+
TAR radioTarleton Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Tarleton State a 69% chance.
SeriesAbilene Christian leads 4–2 · Abilene Christian won the last meeting, 31–28 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) TAR
Home-field edge TAR
Model projection TAR
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Abilene Christian @ Tarleton St
Your sims:Sims: TAR 0, ACU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Tarleton State vs Abilene Christian Stats ComparisonTAR vs ACU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Tarleton StateTAR | Abilene ChristianACU | |
|---|---|---|
| 34.5 | PPG | 12 |
| 21.5 | PA/G | 27 |
| 484.5 | YDS/G | 276 |
| 240 | PASS/G | 163 |
| 244.5 | RUSH/G | 113 |
| 7.9 | YDS/PLAY | 4.5 |
| 40.0% | 3RD DOWN | 39.3% |
| 0.18 | DEF PPA | 0.20 |
| 49.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 29.4% |
| 41.7% | DEF SUCCESS | 44.7% |
| 1.14 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.37 |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | −2 |
| 0.27 | OFF PPA | -0.01 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationStephenville, TX
Capacity24,000
SurfaceTurf
Elevation1,319 ft
FAN NEWS
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