Air Force @ Nevada, Week 4 · 2026
@
GAME DAY
Week 4 · TBDAir ForceAF0–0·MWC
NEV radioWolf Pack Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Nevada a 39% chance.
SeriesAir Force leads 6–2 · Air Force won the last meeting, 22–19 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) AF
Home-field edge NEV
Model projection AF
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Air Force @ Nevada
Your sims:Sims: NEV 0, AF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Nevada vs Air Force Stats ComparisonNevada vs Air Force Stats Comparison
2025 stats| NevadaNEV | Air ForceAF | |
|---|---|---|
| 17.6#128 | PPG | 29.8#48 |
| 27.5#87 | PA/G | 30.3#109 |
| 302.4#126 | YDS/G | 406.7#46 |
| 147.2#127 | PASS/G | 145.2#128 |
| 155.2#73 | RUSH/G | 261.5#3 |
| 5#117 | YDS/PLAY | 6#38 |
| 32.1%#127 | 3RD DOWN | 51.0%#7 |
| 0.03#127 | OFF PPA | 0.29#20 |
| 0.19#90 | DEF PPA | 0.40#136 |
| 37.1%#120 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.6%#14 |
| 42.6%#87 | DEF SUCCESS | 49.4%#134 |
| 35.5% | RET PROD | 57.4% |
| 1.21#90 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#98 |
| −12#129 | TO MARGIN | −2#81 |
| -11.7 | SP+ | -3.2 |
| -11.9#116 | FPI | -6.8#93 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Mackay StadiumLocationReno, NV
Capacity27,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1966
Elevation4,615 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Nevada?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 4 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
