GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·ALCN radioBraves Sports Network
MVSU radioDelta Devil Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Alcorn State a 57% chance.
SeriesAlcorn State leads 17–2 · Alcorn State won the last meeting, 32–10 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
MVSU win
43% One-score game
37%
43% One-score game
37%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ALCN
Home-field edge MVSU
Model projection ALCN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Alcorn St @ Mississippi Valley St
Your sims:Sims: MVSU 0, ALCN 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Alcorn State vs Mississippi Valley State Stats ComparisonAlcorn State vs MVSU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Alcorn StateALCN | Mississippi Valley StateMVSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.5 | PPG | 5 |
| 28 | PA/G | 48 |
| 305.5 | YDS/G | 187.5 |
| 217.5 | PASS/G | 61 |
| 88 | RUSH/G | 126.5 |
| 4.9 | YDS/PLAY | 3.6 |
| 50.0% | 3RD DOWN | 18.5% |
| 0.18 | DEF PPA | 0.24 |
| 38.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 26.0% |
| 46.2% | DEF SUCCESS | 46.2% |
| 1.41 | EXPLOSIVE | 0.72 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | −3 |
| 0.16 | OFF PPA | -0.18 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Rice-Totten FieldLocationItta Bena, MS
Capacity10,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened1958
Elevation131 ft
FAN NEWS
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