Arizona State @ Arizona, Week 13 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 13 · TBDARIZ radioWildcat Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Arizona opens a 4.5-point favorite. Our model gives Arizona a 61% chance.
SeriesArizona State leads 45–43–1 · Arizona won the last meeting, 23–7 · 2025
What's driving the model
Home-field edge ARIZ
Market lean ARIZ
Model projection ARIZ
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Arizona State @ Arizona
Your sims:Sims: ARIZ 0, ASU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADARIZ −4.5ASU +4.5
TOTALOver 52.5Under 52.5
MONEYLINEARIZ −205ASU +170
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Arizona vs Arizona State Stats ComparisonArizona vs ASU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| ArizonaARIZ | Arizona StateASU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.5#30 | PPG | 25.8#81 |
| 19.3#21 | PA/G | 24.5#65 |
| 407.9#42 | YDS/G | 416.6#32 |
| 255.2#36 | PASS/G | 223.7#69 |
| 152.7#75 | RUSH/G | 192.9#27 |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#46 |
| 41.0%#53 | 3RD DOWN | 32.6%#125 |
| 0.17#67 | OFF PPA | 0.13#89 |
| 0.07#25 | DEF PPA | 0.10#44 |
| 42.6%#66 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.8%#103 |
| 37.9%#27 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.8%#58 |
| 64.9% | RET PROD | 15.5% |
| 1.26#51 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27#49 |
| 9.5 | SP+ | 4.9 |
| 7.2#34 | FPI | 4.8#44 |
| +18#2 | TO MARGIN | −6#108 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Arizona StadiumLocationTucson, AZ
Capacity50,782
SurfaceTurf
Opened1928
Elevation2,435 ft
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
