Arizona @ Kansas State, Week 12 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDArizonaARIZ0–0·B12
KSU radioWildcat Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Kansas State a 59% chance.
SeriesArizona leads 6–2–1 · Arizona won the last meeting, 23–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ARIZ
Home-field edge KSU
Model projection KSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Arizona @ Kansas State
Your sims:Sims: KSU 0, ARIZ 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Kansas State vs Arizona Stats ComparisonKansas State vs Arizona Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Kansas StateKSU | ArizonaARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.4#52 | PPG | 31.5#30 |
| 26.7#79 | PA/G | 19.3#21 |
| 370.6#83 | YDS/G | 407.9#42 |
| 198.3#97 | PASS/G | 255.2#36 |
| 172.2#53 | RUSH/G | 152.7#75 |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| 36.9%#94 | 3RD DOWN | 41.0%#53 |
| +11#8 | TO MARGIN | +18#2 |
| 0.21#37 | OFF PPA | 0.17#67 |
| 0.12#56 | DEF PPA | 0.07#25 |
| 40.6%#91 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.6%#66 |
| 39.4%#45 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.9%#27 |
| 71.4% | RET PROD | 64.9% |
| 1.41#6 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26#51 |
| 9.2 | SP+ | 9.5 |
| 5.1#41 | FPI | 7.2#34 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Bill Snyder Family StadiumLocationManhattan, KS
Capacity50,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1968
Elevation1,076 ft
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