Ball State @ Kent State, Week 4 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 4 · TBDKENT radioFlashes Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Kent State a 67% chance.
SeriesBall State leads 25–8 · Ball State won the last meeting, 17–13 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) KENT
Home-field edge KENT
Model projection KENT
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Ball State @ Kent State
Your sims:Sims: KENT 0, BALL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Kent State
Kent State2025: 5–7 (4–4 MAC)
Wat Northern Illinois35–31Lvs Central Michigan28–16Wat Akron42–35 (OT)Kent State2025: 5–7 (4–4 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Kent State vs Ball State Stats ComparisonKent State vs Ball State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Kent StateKENT | Ball StateBALL | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.2#115 | PPG | 15.8#132 |
| 33.6#128 | PA/G | 29.8#101 |
| 295.4#128 | YDS/G | 271.7#134 |
| 197.1#99 | PASS/G | 138#131 |
| 98.3#130 | RUSH/G | 133.7#96 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 4.5#133 |
| 27.6%#135 | 3RD DOWN | 33.5%#119 |
| 0.20#103 | DEF PPA | 0.18#87 |
| 34.7%#131 | OFF SUCCESS | 32.5%#136 |
| 44.3%#108 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.7%#113 |
| 64.1% | RET PROD | 5.7% |
| 1.36#14 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.32#29 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
| 0.07#118 | OFF PPA | -0.00#133 |
| -22.4 | SP+ | -25.1 |
| -17.9#135 | FPI | -17.3#134 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Dix StadiumLocationKent, OH
Capacity25,319
SurfaceTurf
Opened1969
Elevation1,054 ft
FAN NEWS
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