Kent State @ South Carolina, Week 1 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Kent State opens a 35.5-point underdog. Our model gives Kent State a 2% chance.
SeriesSouth Carolina leads 1–0 · South Carolina won the last meeting, 77–14 · 1995
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) SC
Home-field edge SC
Market lean SC
Model projection SC
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Kent State @ South Carolina
Your sims:Sims: KENT 0, SC 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Kent State
Kent State2025: 5–7 (4–4 MAC)
Wat Northern Illinois35–31Lvs Central Michigan28–16Wat Akron42–35 (OT)Kent State2025: 5–7 (4–4 MAC)South Carolina
South Carolina2025: 4–8 (1–7 SEC)
Lvs Clemson28–14Wvs Coastal Carolina51–7Lat Texas A&M31–30South Carolina2025: 4–8 (1–7 SEC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADKENT +35.5SC −35.5
TOTALOver 54.5Under 54.5
MONEYLINEKENT +5000SC −100000
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Kent State vs South Carolina Stats ComparisonKent State vs SC Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Kent StateKENT | South CarolinaSC | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.2#115 | PPG | 22.7#104 |
| 33.6#128 | PA/G | 22.1#44 |
| 295.4#128 | YDS/G | 336.8#109 |
| 197.1#99 | PASS/G | 225.2#67 |
| 98.3#130 | RUSH/G | 111.6#119 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 5.4#92 |
| 27.6%#135 | 3RD DOWN | 31.9%#128 |
| 0.07#118 | OFF PPA | 0.10#102 |
| 0.20#103 | DEF PPA | 0.08#29 |
| 34.7%#131 | OFF SUCCESS | 38.2%#115 |
| 44.3%#108 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.8%#70 |
| 64.1% | RET PROD | 69.0% |
| 1.36#14 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.32#28 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | +4#43 |
| -22.4 | SP+ | 12.6 |
| -17.9#135 | FPI | 11.7#23 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Williams-Brice StadiumLocationColumbia, SC
Capacity80,250
SurfaceGrass
Opened1934
Elevation199 ft
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