Boise State @ Colorado State, Week 10 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·TVUSA Net
BOIS radioBronco Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Boise State a 77% chance.
SeriesBoise State leads 13–1 · Boise State won the last meeting, 49–21 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BOIS
Home-field edge CSU
Model projection BOIS
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Boise State @ Colorado State
Your sims:Sims: BOIS 0, CSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Colorado State
Colorado State2025: 2–10 (1–7 MWC)
Lvs Air Force42–21Lat Boise State49–21Lat New Mexico20–17Colorado State2025: 2–10 (1–7 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Boise State vs Colorado State Stats ComparisonBoise State vs CSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Boise StateBOIS | Colorado StateCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.9#46 | PPG | 18.5#124 |
| 24.1#61 | PA/G | 30.8#113 |
| 424.3#24 | YDS/G | 324.2#117 |
| 244.9#51 | PASS/G | 215.9#86 |
| 179.4#38 | RUSH/G | 108.2#120 |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | 5.1#111 |
| 45.8%#26 | 3RD DOWN | 32.9%#122 |
| 0.17#60 | OFF PPA | 0.12#94 |
| 0.10#42 | DEF PPA | 0.24#118 |
| 40.9%#86 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.8%#103 |
| 35.3%#8 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.9%#119 |
| 66.3% | RET PROD | 39.6% |
| 1.30#36 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#86 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | −4#98 |
| 5.1 | SP+ | -11.6 |
| 4.0#50 | FPI | -12.4#118 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Canvas StadiumLocationFort Collins, CO
Capacity36,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation5,014 ft
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