Cal Poly @ Idaho State, Week 6 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 6 · ·StreamingESPN+
IDST radioBengal Radio Network / KISU
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Idaho State a 68% chance.
SeriesCal Poly leads 7–6 · Idaho State won the last meeting, 27–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) IDST
Home-field edge IDST
Model projection IDST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Cal Poly @ Idaho State
Your sims:Sims: IDST 0, CP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Idaho State vs Cal Poly Stats ComparisonIdaho State vs Cal Poly Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Idaho StateIDST | Cal PolyCP | |
|---|---|---|
| 33.5 | PPG | 31 |
| 13.5 | PA/G | 25.5 |
| 347.5 | YDS/G | 450 |
| 259 | PASS/G | 261.5 |
| 88.5 | RUSH/G | 188.5 |
| 5.5 | YDS/PLAY | 6.5 |
| 29.6% | 3RD DOWN | 51.9% |
| +3 | TO MARGIN | +2 |
| 0.12 | OFF PPA | 0.24 |
| 40.8% | OFF SUCCESS | 47.6% |
| 34.6% | DEF SUCCESS | 42.8% |
| 1.18 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.19 |
| -0.02 | DEF PPA | 0.26 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Holt ArenaLocationPocatello, ID
Capacity12,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1970
Elevation4,561 ft
FAN NEWS
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