GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·StreamingESPN+
UCD radioAggie Radio / Sactown Sports
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UC Davis a 61% chance.
SeriesUC Davis leads 15–5 since 2003 · UC Davis won the last meeting, 34–27 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) UCD
Home-field edge UCD
Model projection UCD
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Cal Poly @ UC Davis
Your sims:Sims: UCD 0, CP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Cal Poly vs UC Davis Stats ComparisonCal Poly vs UC Davis Stats Comparison
| Cal PolyCP | UC DavisUCD | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.9 | PPG | 32 |
| 31.4 | PA/G | 31 |
| 401.4 | YDS/G | 441.9 |
| 243.9 | PASS/G | 275 |
| 157.6 | RUSH/G | 166.9 |
| 5.9 | YDS/PLAY | 6.6 |
| 38.8% | 3RD DOWN | 37.7% |
| 0.10 | OFF PPA | 0.15 |
| 0.18 | DEF PPA | 0.14 |
| 45.2% | OFF SUCCESS | 44.0% |
| 44.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 42.0% |
| 1.17 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.35 |
| −5 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
| -32.5 | SRS | -32.0 |
THE VENUE
Aggie StadiumLocationDavis, CA
Capacity10,743
SurfaceTurf
Opened2007
Elevation37 ft
FAN NEWS
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