Central Michigan @ Buffalo, Week 12 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDBUF radioBulls Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Buffalo a 65% chance.
SeriesCentral Michigan leads 9–4 · Central Michigan won the last meeting, 38–19 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BUF
Home-field edge BUF
Model projection BUF
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Central Michigan @ Buffalo
Your sims:Sims: BUF 0, CMU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Central Michigan
Central Michigan2025: 7–6 (5–3 MAC)
Lvs Northwestern34–7Lvs Toledo21–3Wat Kent State28–16Central Michigan2025: 7–6 (5–3 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Buffalo vs Central Michigan Stats ComparisonBuffalo vs CMU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| BuffaloBUF | Central MichiganCMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24#93 | PPG | 22.5#105 |
| 23.5#54 | PA/G | 23.5#54 |
| 362.2#85 | YDS/G | 332.2#112 |
| 229#64 | PASS/G | 167.1#118 |
| 133.2#97 | RUSH/G | 165.1#59 |
| 5.3#97 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 35.8%#103 | 3RD DOWN | 34.1%#115 |
| 0.08#113 | OFF PPA | 0.14#88 |
| 0.11#48 | DEF PPA | 0.08#32 |
| 39.6%#106 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.6%#91 |
| 38.8%#38 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.3%#51 |
| 1.17#114 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16#118 |
| −7#112 | TO MARGIN | +5#35 |
| -0.8% | RET PROD | 54.0% |
| -12.7 | SP+ | -15.1 |
| -10.8#113 | FPI | -12.8#120 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
UB StadiumLocationAmherst, NY
Capacity30,270
SurfaceTurf
Opened1993
Elevation596 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 12 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
