Central Michigan @ Miami, Week 4 · 2026
@#7
GAME DAY
Week 4 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Miami a 99% chance.
SeriesMiami leads 1–0 · Miami won the last meeting, 17–12 · 2019
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MIA
Home-field edge MIA
Model projection MIA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Central Michigan @ Miami
Your sims:Sims: MIA 0, CMU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Central Michigan
Central Michigan2025: 7–6 (5–3 MAC)
Lvs Northwestern34–7Lvs Toledo21–3Wat Kent State28–16Central Michigan2025: 7–6 (5–3 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Miami vs Central Michigan Stats ComparisonMiami vs CMU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MiamiMIA | Central MichiganCMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.9#35 | PPG | 22.5#105 |
| 14.8#5 | PA/G | 23.5#54 |
| 404.9#48 | YDS/G | 332.2#112 |
| 253.2#41 | PASS/G | 167.1#118 |
| 151.8#77 | RUSH/G | 165.1#59 |
| 6.1#31 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 46.5%#18 | 3RD DOWN | 34.1%#115 |
| +10#11 | TO MARGIN | +5#35 |
| 0.22#32 | OFF PPA | 0.14#88 |
| 0.03#12 | DEF PPA | 0.08#32 |
| 46.8%#20 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.6%#91 |
| 35.9%#13 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.3%#51 |
| 36.9% | RET PROD | 54.0% |
| 1.16#120 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16#118 |
| 22.0 | SP+ | -15.1 |
| 21.8#7 | FPI | -12.8#120 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Hard Rock StadiumLocationMiami Gardens, FL
Capacity64,767
SurfaceTurf
Opened1987
Elevation9 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 4 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
