Colorado State @ UTSA, Week 4 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 4 · TBDCSU radioRams Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Colorado State a 19% chance.
SeriesColorado State leads 2–1 · UTSA won the last meeting, 17–16 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UTSA
Home-field edge UTSA
Model projection UTSA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Colorado State @ UTSA
Your sims:Sims: CSU 0, UTSA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Colorado State
Colorado State2025: 2–10 (1–7 MWC)
Lvs Air Force42–21Lat Boise State49–21Lat New Mexico20–17Colorado State2025: 2–10 (1–7 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Colorado State vs UTSA Stats ComparisonCSU vs UTSA Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Colorado StateCSU | UTSAUTSA | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.5#124 | PPG | 35.5#14 |
| 30.8#113 | PA/G | 28.8#91 |
| 324.2#117 | YDS/G | 421.3#28 |
| 215.9#86 | PASS/G | 247.2#46 |
| 108.2#120 | RUSH/G | 174.1#52 |
| 5.1#111 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1#31 |
| 32.9%#122 | 3RD DOWN | 39.7%#70 |
| 0.12#94 | OFF PPA | 0.20#43 |
| 0.24#118 | DEF PPA | 0.14#58 |
| 39.8%#103 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.9%#47 |
| 44.9%#119 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.0%#29 |
| 39.6% | RET PROD | 66.9% |
| 1.21#86 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.32#30 |
| −4#98 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| -11.6 | SP+ | -1.1 |
| -12.4#118 | FPI | -5.3#88 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
AlamodomeLocationSan Antonio, TX
Capacity36,582
SurfaceTurf
Opened1993
Elevation661 ft
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