Duke @ Miami, Week 11 · 2026
@#7
GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDDUKE radioDuke Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Duke opens a 21-point underdog. Our model gives Duke a 9% chance.
SeriesMiami leads 16–5 · Miami won the last meeting, 53–31 · 2024
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADDUKE +21MIA −21
TOTALOver 55.5Under 55.5
MONEYLINEDUKE +950MIA −1650
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Duke vs Miami Stats ComparisonDuke vs Miami Stats Comparison
2025 stats| DukeDUKE | MiamiMIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 34.6#16 | PPG | 30.9#35 |
| 29.4#98 | PA/G | 14.8#5 |
| 423.6#25 | YDS/G | 404.9#48 |
| 285.4#11 | PASS/G | 253.2#41 |
| 138.2#88 | RUSH/G | 151.8#77 |
| 6.2#27 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1#31 |
| 39.0%#77 | 3RD DOWN | 46.5%#18 |
| +10#11 | TO MARGIN | +10#11 |
| 0.24#24 | OFF PPA | 0.22#32 |
| 0.22#113 | DEF PPA | 0.03#12 |
| 45.8%#29 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.8%#20 |
| 43.5%#96 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.9%#13 |
| 17.1% | RET PROD | 36.9% |
| 1.33#26 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16#120 |
| 5.6 | SP+ | 22.0 |
| 3.5#52 | FPI | 21.8#7 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Hard Rock StadiumLocationMiami Gardens, FL
Capacity64,767
SurfaceTurf
Opened1987
Elevation9 ft
FAN NEWS
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