East Tennessee State @ The Citadel, Week 6 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 6 · ·StreamingESPN+
CIT radioCitadel Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives The Citadel a 48% chance.
SeriesEast Tennessee State leads 7–4 · East Tennessee State won the last meeting, 28–26 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ETSU
Home-field edge CIT
Model projection ETSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
East Tennessee St @ The Citadel
Your sims:Sims: CIT 0, ETSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
The Citadel vs East Tennessee State Stats ComparisonThe Citadel vs ETSU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| The CitadelCIT | East Tennessee StateETSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28.5 | PPG | 42.5 |
| 41.5 | PA/G | 31.5 |
| 375.5 | YDS/G | 506 |
| 128 | PASS/G | 316 |
| 247.5 | RUSH/G | 190 |
| 5.7 | YDS/PLAY | 7.7 |
| 48.1% | 3RD DOWN | 56.5% |
| 0.18 | OFF PPA | 0.38 |
| 0.29 | DEF PPA | 0.22 |
| 48.2% | OFF SUCCESS | 50.4% |
| 49.6% | DEF SUCCESS | 38.1% |
| 1.09 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.40 |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | −3 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Johnson Hagood StadiumLocationCharleston, SC
Capacity11,427
SurfaceGrass
Opened1948
Elevation14 ft
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