Florida Atlantic @ East Carolina, Week 13 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 13 · TBDECU radioPirate Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives East Carolina a 68% chance.
SeriesEast Carolina leads 4–0 · East Carolina won the last meeting, 42–3 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ECU
Home-field edge ECU
Model projection ECU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Florida Atlantic @ East Carolina
Your sims:Sims: ECU 0, FAU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3East Carolina
East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)
Wvs Pittsburgh23–17Wat Florida Atlantic42–3Lat UTSA58–24East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic2025: 4–8 (3–5 AAC)
Lvs East Carolina42–3Lvs UConn48–45Lat Tulane35–24Florida Atlantic2025: 4–8 (3–5 AAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic Stats ComparisonECU vs FAU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| East CarolinaECU | Florida AtlanticFAU | |
|---|---|---|
| 32.7#24 | PPG | 29.5#49 |
| 20.1#25 | PA/G | 36.3#131 |
| 449#19 | YDS/G | 445.7#22 |
| 272.7#21 | PASS/G | 340.5#1 |
| 176.3#46 | RUSH/G | 105.2#123 |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7#65 |
| 47.2%#15 | 3RD DOWN | 36.8%#96 |
| 0.19#49 | OFF PPA | 0.16#74 |
| 0.05#16 | DEF PPA | 0.22#113 |
| 45.8%#29 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.3%#98 |
| 37.6%#24 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.7%#99 |
| 13.6% | RET PROD | 68.4% |
| 1.16#118 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.40#7 |
| +10#11 | TO MARGIN | −21#136 |
| -2.3 | SP+ | -6.1 |
| -0.6#68 | FPI | -11.3#115 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Dowdy-Ficklen StadiumLocationGreenville, NC
Capacity50,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened1963
Elevation63 ft
FAN NEWS
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