Georgia Southern @ Georgia State, Week 11 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDGAST radioPanther Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Georgia State a 19% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 6–6 · Georgia Southern won the last meeting, 41–24 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) GASO
Home-field edge GAST
Model projection GASO
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State
Your sims:Sims: GAST 0, GASO 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern2025: 7–6 (4–4 SBC)
Wvs App State29–10Wat Marshall24–19Lvs Old Dominion45–10Georgia Southern2025: 7–6 (4–4 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Georgia State vs Georgia Southern Stats ComparisonGAST vs GASO Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Georgia StateGAST | Georgia SouthernGASO | |
|---|---|---|
| 19.8#119 | PPG | 27.9#65 |
| 37.8#133 | PA/G | 32.3#120 |
| 378.2#77 | YDS/G | 402.3#53 |
| 254.4#38 | PASS/G | 247#47 |
| 123.8#107 | RUSH/G | 155.3#72 |
| 5.4#92 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#46 |
| 38.6%#83 | 3RD DOWN | 44.7%#31 |
| 0.13#91 | OFF PPA | 0.20#45 |
| 0.28#133 | DEF PPA | 0.27#130 |
| 40.4%#95 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.1%#45 |
| 46.2%#125 | DEF SUCCESS | 48.8%#132 |
| 46.5% | RET PROD | 5.8% |
| 1.25#61 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.23#71 |
| −11#127 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| -29.3 | SP+ | -10.8 |
| -15.2#127 | FPI | -8.7#103 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Center Parc StadiumLocationAtlanta, GA
Capacity25,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation942 ft
FAN NEWS
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