Georgia Southern @ Troy, Week 12 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDGASO radioEagle Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Georgia Southern a 34% chance.
SeriesTroy leads 5–4 · Troy won the last meeting, 28–20 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TROY
Home-field edge TROY
Model projection TROY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Georgia Southern @ Troy
Your sims:Sims: GASO 0, TROY 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern2025: 7–6 (4–4 SBC)
Wvs App State29–10Wat Marshall24–19Lvs Old Dominion45–10Georgia Southern2025: 7–6 (4–4 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Georgia Southern vs Troy Stats ComparisonGASO vs Troy Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Georgia SouthernGASO | TroyTROY | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.9#65 | PPG | 23.5#95 |
| 32.3#120 | PA/G | 23.9#58 |
| 402.3#53 | YDS/G | 307.2#124 |
| 247#47 | PASS/G | 209.2#90 |
| 155.3#72 | RUSH/G | 98#131 |
| 5.9#46 | YDS/PLAY | 4.6#129 |
| 44.7%#31 | 3RD DOWN | 38.8%#80 |
| 0.20#45 | OFF PPA | 0.08#113 |
| 0.27#130 | DEF PPA | 0.11#50 |
| 44.1%#45 | OFF SUCCESS | 37.9%#117 |
| 48.8%#132 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.6%#47 |
| 5.8% | RET PROD | 35.3% |
| 1.23#71 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.30#40 |
| +6#27 | TO MARGIN | +0#72 |
| -10.8 | SP+ | -8.0 |
| -8.7#103 | FPI | -7.4#95 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)LocationTroy, AL
Capacity30,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1950
Elevation508 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 12 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
