Georgia State @ Marshall, Week 12 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDGAST radioPanther Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Georgia State a 6% chance.
SeriesMarshall leads 3–1 · Marshall won the last meeting, 30–18 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MRSH
Home-field edge MRSH
Model projection MRSH
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Georgia State @ Marshall
Your sims:Sims: GAST 0, MRSH 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Marshall
Marshall2025: 5–7 (3–5 SBC)
Lvs Georgia Southern24–19Lat App State26–24Wat Georgia State30–18Marshall2025: 5–7 (3–5 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Georgia State vs Marshall Stats ComparisonGAST vs Marshall Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Georgia StateGAST | MarshallMRSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 19.8#119 | PPG | 30.8#37 |
| 37.8#133 | PA/G | 30.2#106 |
| 378.2#77 | YDS/G | 406.1#47 |
| 254.4#38 | PASS/G | 207.9#91 |
| 123.8#107 | RUSH/G | 198.2#21 |
| 5.4#92 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#46 |
| 38.6%#83 | 3RD DOWN | 35.2%#106 |
| 0.13#91 | OFF PPA | 0.16#72 |
| 0.28#133 | DEF PPA | 0.16#73 |
| 40.4%#95 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.9%#47 |
| 46.2%#125 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.6%#35 |
| 46.5% | RET PROD | 98.8% |
| 1.25#61 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.13#130 |
| −11#127 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| -29.3 | SP+ | -8.2 |
| -15.2#127 | FPI | -8.8#104 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Joan C. Edwards StadiumLocationHuntington, WV
Capacity38,016
SurfaceTurf
Opened1991
Elevation537 ft
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