Houston Christian @ Northwestern State, Week 11 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·StreamingESPN+
NWST radioDemon Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Northwestern State a 54% chance.
SeriesNorthwestern State leads 5–4 · Houston Christian won the last meeting, 20–17 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
NWST win
54% One-score game
37%
54% One-score game
37%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) HCU
Home-field edge NWST
Model projection NWST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Houston Christian @ Northwestern St
Your sims:Sims: NWST 0, HCU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Northwestern State vs Houston Christian Stats ComparisonNWST vs HCU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Northwestern StateNWST | Houston ChristianHCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.5 | PPG | 18.5 |
| 61 | PA/G | 29.5 |
| 327 | YDS/G | 302.5 |
| 192 | PASS/G | 148 |
| 135 | RUSH/G | 154.5 |
| 4.7 | YDS/PLAY | 5.1 |
| 31.2% | 3RD DOWN | 44.4% |
| 0.38 | DEF PPA | 0.21 |
| 31.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 32.2% |
| 43.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 47.2% |
| 1.22 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.37 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| -0.04 | OFF PPA | 0.05 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Harry Turpin StadiumLocationNatchitoches, LA
Capacity15,971
SurfaceTurf
Opened1976
Elevation120 ft
FAN NEWS
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