Illinois State @ Youngstown State, Week 11 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·StreamingESPN+
YSU radioPenguin Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Youngstown State a 54% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 11–11 · Youngstown State won the last meeting, 40–35 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ILST
Home-field edge YSU
Model projection YSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Illinois St @ Youngstown St
Your sims:Sims: YSU 0, ILST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Youngstown State vs Illinois State Stats ComparisonYSU vs ILST Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Youngstown StateYSU | Illinois StateILST | |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | PPG | 58.5 |
| 27.5 | PA/G | 5 |
| 394.5 | YDS/G | 248 |
| 239 | PASS/G | 128.5 |
| 155.5 | RUSH/G | 119.5 |
| 6 | YDS/PLAY | 6 |
| 60.7% | 3RD DOWN | 68.8% |
| 0.25 | OFF PPA | 0.34 |
| 0.26 | DEF PPA | 0.04 |
| 48.1% | OFF SUCCESS | 47.0% |
| 46.5% | DEF SUCCESS | 35.4% |
| 1.21 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.37 |
| +0 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Stambaugh StadiumLocationYoungstown, OH
Capacity20,630
SurfaceTurf
Opened1982
Elevation981 ft
FAN NEWS
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