Illinois @ UCLA, Week 11 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·IllinoisILL0–0·B1G
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Illinois a 52% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 6–6 · Illinois won the last meeting, 20–14 · 2011
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ILL
Home-field edge UCLA
Model projection ILL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Illinois @ UCLA
Your sims:Sims: ILL 0, UCLA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Illinois vs UCLA Stats ComparisonIllinois vs UCLA Stats Comparison
2025 stats| IllinoisILL | UCLAUCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.4#52 | PPG | 18.2#125 |
| 23.6#56 | PA/G | 33.4#127 |
| 373.9#80 | YDS/G | 319.8#120 |
| 235.8#59 | PASS/G | 180.2#115 |
| 138.2#88 | RUSH/G | 139.6#85 |
| 5.9#46 | YDS/PLAY | 5.2#104 |
| 42.1%#43 | 3RD DOWN | 37.3%#92 |
| 0.21#39 | OFF PPA | 0.12#96 |
| 0.19#97 | DEF PPA | 0.26#126 |
| 47.5%#15 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.2%#81 |
| 45.0%#121 | DEF SUCCESS | 49.8%#135 |
| 21.1% | RET PROD | 57.0% |
| 1.16#116 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17#112 |
| 10.4 | SP+ | 5.4 |
| 6.3#39 | FPI | 0.5#64 |
| +5#35 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Rose BowlLocationPasadena, CA
Capacity88,565
SurfaceGrass
Opened1922
Elevation804 ft
FAN NEWS
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