Illinois @ UCLA, Week 11 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·IllinoisILL0–0·B1G
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UCLA a 48% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 6–6 · Illinois won the last meeting, 20–14 · 2011
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ILL
Home-field edge UCLA
Model projection ILL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Illinois @ UCLA
Your sims:Sims: UCLA 0, ILL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UCLA vs Illinois Stats ComparisonUCLA vs Illinois Stats Comparison
2025 stats| UCLAUCLA | IllinoisILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.2#125 | PPG | 29.4#52 |
| 33.4#127 | PA/G | 23.6#56 |
| 319.8#120 | YDS/G | 373.9#80 |
| 180.2#115 | PASS/G | 235.8#59 |
| 139.6#85 | RUSH/G | 138.2#88 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#46 |
| 37.3%#92 | 3RD DOWN | 42.1%#43 |
| 0.12#96 | OFF PPA | 0.21#39 |
| 0.26#126 | DEF PPA | 0.19#97 |
| 41.2%#81 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.5%#15 |
| 49.8%#135 | DEF SUCCESS | 45.0%#121 |
| 57.0% | RET PROD | 21.1% |
| 1.17#112 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16#116 |
| 5.4 | SP+ | 10.4 |
| 0.5#64 | FPI | 6.3#39 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | +5#35 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Rose BowlLocationPasadena, CA
Capacity88,565
SurfaceGrass
Opened1922
Elevation804 ft
FAN NEWS
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