Iowa State @ Baylor, Week 10 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 10 · TBDIowa StateISU0–0·B12
ISU radioCyclone Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Iowa State a 31% chance.
SeriesBaylor leads 12–11 · Iowa State won the last meeting, 43–21 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BAY
Home-field edge BAY
Model projection BAY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Iowa State @ Baylor
Your sims:Sims: ISU 0, BAY 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Iowa State vs Baylor Stats ComparisonIowa State vs Baylor Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Iowa StateISU | BaylorBAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.4#70 | PPG | 31.1#33 |
| 20.2#26 | PA/G | 32.6#122 |
| 395.6#60 | YDS/G | 451.2#18 |
| 221.4#73 | PASS/G | 309.6#4 |
| 174.2#51 | RUSH/G | 141.6#83 |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#46 |
| 39.9%#69 | 3RD DOWN | 37.8%#89 |
| 0.19#52 | OFF PPA | 0.19#49 |
| 0.09#35 | DEF PPA | 0.17#82 |
| 45.0%#38 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.7%#41 |
| 39.1%#42 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.7%#99 |
| 1.7% | RET PROD | 60.2% |
| 1.21#89 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.28#43 |
| +4#43 | TO MARGIN | −13#133 |
| -0.4 | SP+ | 3.8 |
| -0.9#72 | FPI | 6.5#37 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
McLane StadiumLocationWaco, TX
Capacity45,140
SurfaceTurf
Opened2014
Elevation384 ft
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