Mississippi Valley State at Alabama State: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction · 2025 ratings

Mississippi Valley State VibesMVSU Vibes

SWAC · Week 2

FAMU @ MIAThu, Sep 10 · 8:00 PM EDTACC Network ALST @ TROYSat, Sep 12 · 3:00 PM CDT SOU @ HOUSat, Sep 12 · 6:00 PM CDT GRAM @ TCUSat, Sep 12 · 7:00 PM CDT PV @ BAYSat, Sep 12 · 7:08 PM CDT TXSO @ UTEPSat, Sep 12 · 7:00 PM MDT

All scores

GAME DAY

Week 4 · Sat, Sep 26 · 5:00 PM CDT5:00 PM CDT

Mississippi Valley StateMVSU–

Alabama StateALST–

MVSU radioDelta Devil Sports Network

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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives Mississippi Valley State a 9% chance.

SeriesAlabama State leads 16–2 · Alabama State won the last meeting, 41–3 · 2025

WIN PROBABILITY

ALST 91% MVSU 9%

PROJECTED FINAL

Alabama State

Mississippi Valley State

MVSU win
9% One-score game
15%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SRS) ALST

Home-field edge ALST

Model projection ALST

Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.

Mississippi Valley St @ Alabama St

Your sims:Sims: MVSU 0, ALST 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Mississippi Valley State

2026: 0–1

Lat Sacramento State52–0

Betting Lines

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No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Mississippi Valley State vs Alabama State Stats ComparisonMVSU vs ALST Stats Comparison

2026 stats

Mississippi Valley StateMVSU		Alabama StateALST
5	PPG	32
48	PA/G	8.5
187.5	YDS/G	314.5
61	PASS/G	160
126.5	RUSH/G	154.5
3.6	YDS/PLAY	5.5
18.5%	3RD DOWN	30.4%
0.24	DEF PPA	0.03
26.0%	OFF SUCCESS	39.3%
46.2%	DEF SUCCESS	32.1%
0.72	EXPLOSIVE	1.34
−3	TO MARGIN	+2
-0.18	OFF PPA	0.22

2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Hornet Stadium

LocationMontgomery, AL

Capacity26,500

SurfaceTurf

Opened2012

Elevation260 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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