Montana State @ Idaho State, Week 10 · 2026

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GAME DAY

Week 10 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives Idaho State a 38% chance.

SeriesMontana State leads 15–1 · Montana State won the last meeting, 48–14 · 2025

WIN PROBABILITY
MTST 62% IDST 38%
PROJECTED FINAL
IDST win
38%
One-score game
35%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SRS) MTST
Home-field edge IDST
Model projection MTST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Montana State @ Idaho State

Your sims:Sims: IDST 0, MTST 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Idaho State vs Montana State Stats ComparisonIdaho State vs MTST Stats Comparison

2026 stats
Idaho StateIDSTMontana StateMTST
33.5PPG52.5
13.5PA/G12
347.5YDS/G472.5
29.6%3RD DOWN65.0%

2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Holt Arena
LocationPocatello, ID
Capacity12,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1970
Elevation4,561 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 10 GAMES

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CFB VIBES MODELND 66% to win
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63Games in Week 10Full schedule →