Nevada @ UNLV, Week 13 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 13 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UNLV a 88% chance.
SeriesNevada leads 25–17 · UNLV won the last meeting, 42–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNLV
Home-field edge UNLV
Model projection UNLV
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Nevada @ UNLV
Your sims:Sims: UNLV 0, NEV 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3UNLV
UNLV2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lvs Memphis27–21UNLV2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UNLV vs Nevada Stats ComparisonUNLV vs Nevada Stats Comparison
2025 stats| UNLVUNLV | NevadaNEV | |
|---|---|---|
| 34.1#17 | PPG | 17.6#128 |
| 28#89 | PA/G | 27.5#87 |
| 446.8#21 | YDS/G | 302.4#126 |
| 250.9#42 | PASS/G | 147.2#127 |
| 195.9#23 | RUSH/G | 155.2#73 |
| 6.8#11 | YDS/PLAY | 5#117 |
| 45.2%#28 | 3RD DOWN | 32.1%#127 |
| 0.30#17 | OFF PPA | 0.03#127 |
| 0.21#111 | DEF PPA | 0.19#90 |
| 46.6%#23 | OFF SUCCESS | 37.1%#120 |
| 44.1%#104 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.6%#87 |
| 15.4% | RET PROD | 35.5% |
| 1.36#14 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#90 |
| +7#21 | TO MARGIN | −12#129 |
| 3.6 | SP+ | -11.7 |
| 1.8#58 | FPI | -11.9#116 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Allegiant StadiumLocationLas Vegas, NV
Capacity65,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2020
Elevation2,185 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 13 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
