New Haven @ Mercyhurst, Week 12 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·NHVN radioNew Haven Chargers Radio
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives New Haven a 23% chance.
SeriesMercyhurst leads 1–0 · Mercyhurst won the last meeting, 48–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) MERC
Home-field edge MERC
Model projection MERC
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
New Haven @ Mercyhurst
Your sims:Sims: NHVN 0, MERC 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
New Haven vs Mercyhurst Stats ComparisonNew Haven vs Mercyhurst Stats Comparison
2026 stats| New HavenNHVN | MercyhurstMERC | |
|---|---|---|
| 12.5 | PPG | 12 |
| 21 | PA/G | 47 |
| 356.5 | YDS/G | 239 |
| 242 | PASS/G | 189.5 |
| 114.5 | RUSH/G | 49.5 |
| 5.4 | YDS/PLAY | 4.4 |
| 28.6% | 3RD DOWN | 36.4% |
| 0.01 | DEF PPA | 0.42 |
| 36.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 33.0% |
| 33.6% | DEF SUCCESS | 52.3% |
| 1.14 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25 |
| −2 | TO MARGIN | −3 |
| -0.11 | OFF PPA | -0.07 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Saxon StadiumLocationErie, PA
Capacity2,300
Elevation650 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 12 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
