North Texas @ UTSA, Week 11 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDUTSA radioRoadrunner Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UTSA a 82% chance.
SeriesUTSA leads 8–6 · North Texas won the last meeting, 55–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UTSA
Home-field edge UTSA
Model projection UTSA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
North Texas @ UTSA
Your sims:Sims: UTSA 0, UNT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UTSA vs North Texas Stats ComparisonUTSA vs North Texas Stats Comparison
2025 stats| UTSAUTSA | North TexasUNT | |
|---|---|---|
| 35.5#14 | PPG | 45.1#1 |
| 28.8#91 | PA/G | 26.5#76 |
| 421.3#28 | YDS/G | 511.4#1 |
| 247.2#46 | PASS/G | 317.3#2 |
| 174.1#52 | RUSH/G | 194.1#25 |
| 6.1#31 | YDS/PLAY | 7.2#3 |
| 39.7%#70 | 3RD DOWN | 45.9%#24 |
| +6#27 | TO MARGIN | +9#14 |
| 0.20#43 | OFF PPA | 0.35#2 |
| 0.14#58 | DEF PPA | 0.16#74 |
| 43.9%#47 | OFF SUCCESS | 51.6%#2 |
| 38.0%#29 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.0%#77 |
| 66.9% | RET PROD | 2.5% |
| 1.32#30 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31#33 |
| -1.1 | SP+ | -11.6 |
| -5.3#88 | FPI | -6.4#90 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
AlamodomeLocationSan Antonio, TX
Capacity36,582
SurfaceTurf
Opened1993
Elevation661 ft
FAN NEWS
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