Northern Illinois @ San José State, Week 10 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 10 · TBDStreamingMW+
SJSU radioSpartan Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives San José State a 63% chance.
SeriesNorthern Illinois leads 1–0 · Northern Illinois won the last meeting, 18–17 · 1995
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
SJSU win
63% One-score game
37%
63% One-score game
37%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) SJSU
Home-field edge SJSU
Model projection SJSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Northern Illinois @ San José St
Your sims:Sims: SJSU 0, NIU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3San José State
San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lat USC42–26San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
San José State vs Northern Illinois Stats ComparisonSJSU vs NIU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| San José StateSJSU | Northern IllinoisNIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.4#113 | PPG | 17.1#129 |
| 32.5#121 | PA/G | 24.3#64 |
| 403.2#50 | YDS/G | 284.4#133 |
| 283.2#13 | PASS/G | 98.8#134 |
| 120.1#111 | RUSH/G | 185.6#29 |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | 4.6#129 |
| 42.6%#39 | 3RD DOWN | 31.8%#129 |
| 0.17#64 | OFF PPA | 0.05#125 |
| 0.20#105 | DEF PPA | 0.19#89 |
| 43.2%#57 | OFF SUCCESS | 34.7%#131 |
| 42.4%#83 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.4%#109 |
| 3.8% | RET PROD | 43.7% |
| 1.25#62 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#64 |
| −13#133 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| -15.7 | SP+ | -17.2 |
| -14.3#124 | FPI | -14.5#125 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
CEFCU StadiumLocationSan Jose, CA
Capacity30,456
SurfaceTurf
Opened1933
Elevation93 ft
FAN NEWS
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