GAME DAY
Week 9 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Incarnate Word a 87% chance.
SeriesIncarnate Word leads 5–3 · Incarnate Word won the last meeting, 38–3 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
UIW win
87% One-score game
21%
87% One-score game
21%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) UIW
Home-field edge UIW
Model projection UIW
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Northwestern St @ Incarnate Word
Your sims:Sims: UIW 0, NWST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Northwestern State vs Incarnate Word Stats ComparisonNWST vs UIW Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Northwestern StateNWST | Incarnate WordUIW | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.5 | PPG | – |
| 61 | PA/G | – |
| 327 | YDS/G | – |
| 192 | PASS/G | – |
| 135 | RUSH/G | – |
| 4.7 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 31.2% | 3RD DOWN | – |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | – |
| -0.04 | OFF PPA | – |
| 0.38 | DEF PPA | – |
| 31.9% | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 43.0% | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| 1.22 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Gayle and Tom Benson StadiumLocationSan Antonio, TX
Capacity6,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2008
Elevation684 ft
FAN NEWS
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