Robert Morris @ Buffalo, Week 4 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 4 · ·StreamingESPN+
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Robert Morris a 12% chance.
SeriesBuffalo leads 1–0 · Buffalo won the last meeting, 38–10 · 2019
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BUF
Home-field edge BUF
Model projection BUF
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Robert Morris @ Buffalo
Your sims:Sims: RMU 0, BUF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Buffalo
Wvs UAlbany21–17
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Robert Morris vs Buffalo Stats ComparisonRMU vs Buffalo Stats Comparison
| Robert MorrisRMU | BuffaloBUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 28.5 | PPG | 21 |
| 8 | PA/G | 17 |
| 356 | YDS/G | 340 |
| 228.5 | PASS/G | 189 |
| 127.5 | RUSH/G | 151 |
| 5.6 | YDS/PLAY | 4.2 |
| 34.4% | 3RD DOWN | 47.6% |
| 0.22 | OFF PPA | 0.15 |
| 34.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 39.8% |
| 22.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 29.2% |
| 1.70 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.15 |
| +0 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
| -0.17 | DEF PPA | -0.05 |
| – | RET PROD | -0.8% |
| – | ELO | 1365 |
| – | SP+ | -11.6 |
| – | FPI | -12.6#118 |
THE VENUE
UB StadiumLocationAmherst, NY
Capacity30,270
SurfaceTurf
Opened1993
Elevation596 ft
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