South Alabama @ Kentucky, Week 4 · 2026

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GAME DAY

Week 4 · ·

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives Kentucky a 93% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY
UK 93% USA 7%
PROJECTED FINAL
UK win
93%
One-score game
15%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SP+) UK
Home-field edge UK
Model projection UK
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Alabama @ Kentucky

Your sims:Sims: UK 0, USA 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Kentucky vs South Alabama Stats ComparisonKentucky vs USA Stats Comparison

2025 stats
KentuckyUKSouth AlabamaUSA
23#101PPG26.5#76
26.4#75PA/G30.4#110
341.2#105YDS/G382.2#75
40.3%#623RD DOWN42.6%#39

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Kroger Field
LocationLexington, KY
Capacity61,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1973
Elevation1,009 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 4 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#2@#14
#10@#3
#5@#20
CFB VIBES MODELTEX 66% to win
#8@#11
#22@#16
TBD
CFB VIBES MODELMICH 65% to win
@#1
#4@
@#6
CFB VIBES MODELIU 93% to win