GAME DAY
Week 10 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives South Dakota State a 69% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 11–11 since 2006 · South Dakota State won the last meeting, 31–3 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) SDST
Home-field edge UNI
Model projection SDST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Dakota St @ Northern Iowa
Your sims:Sims: UNI 0, SDST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3South Dakota State
Wvs Murray State42–9Lat North Dakota21–10Wat Illinois State31–14
Northern Iowa
Lat Southern Illinois20–17Lat Youngstown State35–22Wvs North Dakota24–17
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
South Dakota State vs Northern Iowa Stats ComparisonSDST vs UNI Stats Comparison
| South Dakota StateSDST | Northern IowaUNI | |
|---|---|---|
| 37.1 | PPG | 24.4 |
| 15.8 | PA/G | 28 |
| 472.8 | YDS/G | 319.1 |
| 209.4 | PASS/G | 212.4 |
| 263.4 | RUSH/G | 106.7 |
| 7 | YDS/PLAY | 5 |
| 40.6% | 3RD DOWN | 37.4% |
| +6 | TO MARGIN | +6 |
| 0.26 | OFF PPA | 0.05 |
| 47.4% | OFF SUCCESS | 39.4% |
| 36.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 48.0% |
| 1.29 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24 |
| -0.07 | DEF PPA | 0.08 |
| -12.5 | SRS | -25.1 |
THE VENUE
UNI-DomeLocationCedar Falls, IA
Capacity16,324
SurfaceTurf
Opened1976
Elevation925 ft
FAN NEWS
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