South Dakota State @ Northern Iowa, Week 10 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·StreamingESPN+
SDST radioJackrabbit Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives South Dakota State a 63% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 11–11 · South Dakota State won the last meeting, 31–3 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
SDST win
63% One-score game
35%
63% One-score game
35%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) SDST
Home-field edge UNI
Model projection SDST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Dakota St @ Northern Iowa
Your sims:Sims: SDST 0, UNI 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
South Dakota State vs Northern Iowa Stats ComparisonSDST vs UNI Stats Comparison
2026 stats| South Dakota StateSDST | Northern IowaUNI | |
|---|---|---|
| 44 | PPG | 24 |
| 20.5 | PA/G | 34 |
| 530 | YDS/G | 350 |
| 260 | PASS/G | 287 |
| 270 | RUSH/G | 63 |
| 7.4 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6 |
| 46.4% | 3RD DOWN | 50.0% |
| 0.38 | OFF PPA | 0.15 |
| 0.11 | DEF PPA | 0.35 |
| 49.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 50.0% |
| 42.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 52.8% |
| 1.31 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14 |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
UNI-DomeLocationCedar Falls, IA
Capacity16,324
SurfaceTurf
Opened1976
Elevation925 ft
FAN NEWS
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