South Dakota State @ Southern Illinois, Week 11 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·StreamingESPN+
SDST radioJackrabbit Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives South Dakota State a 40% chance.
SeriesSouth Dakota State leads 11–4 · South Dakota State won the last meeting, 41–10 · 2024
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
SDST win
40% One-score game
36%
40% One-score game
36%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) SIU
Home-field edge SIU
Model projection SIU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Dakota St @ Southern Illinois
Your sims:Sims: SDST 0, SIU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
South Dakota State vs Southern Illinois Stats ComparisonSDST vs SIU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| South Dakota StateSDST | Southern IllinoisSIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 44 | PPG | 26.5 |
| 20.5 | PA/G | 26 |
| 530 | YDS/G | 368.5 |
| 260 | PASS/G | 170 |
| 270 | RUSH/G | 198.5 |
| 7.4 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9 |
| 46.4% | 3RD DOWN | 40.0% |
| 0.38 | OFF PPA | 0.12 |
| 0.11 | DEF PPA | 0.12 |
| 49.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 36.4% |
| 42.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 36.7% |
| 1.31 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.61 |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Saluki StadiumLocationCarbondale, IL
Capacity15,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2010
Elevation416 ft
FAN NEWS
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