GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Stephen F. Austin a 73% chance.
SeriesStephen F. Austin leads 8–2 since 2010 · Stephen F. Austin won the last meeting, 26–15 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) SFA
Home-field edge LAM
Model projection SFA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Stephen F. Austin @ Lamar
Your sims:Sims: LAM 0, SFA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Stephen F. Austin
Wvs SE Louisiana45–24Wat Nicholls56–0Wvs Incarnate Word28–26
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Stephen F. Austin vs Lamar Stats ComparisonSFA vs Lamar Stats Comparison
| Stephen F. AustinSFA | LamarLAM | |
|---|---|---|
| 41.4 | PPG | 30.8 |
| 14.4 | PA/G | 22.5 |
| 483.5 | YDS/G | 372.6 |
| 256.6 | PASS/G | 205.6 |
| 226.9 | RUSH/G | 167 |
| 7.2 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9 |
| 44.9% | 3RD DOWN | 45.5% |
| +3 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.32 | OFF PPA | 0.16 |
| 47.7% | OFF SUCCESS | 43.1% |
| 34.5% | DEF SUCCESS | 37.8% |
| 1.34 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25 |
| -0.09 | DEF PPA | -0.01 |
| -10.3 | SRS | -24.9 |
THE VENUE
Provost Umphrey StadiumLocationBeaumont, TX
Capacity16,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1964
Elevation13 ft
FAN NEWS
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