Texas Tech @ Baylor, Week 12 · 2026
#12
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@GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDTexas TechTTU0–0·B12
TTU radioRed Raider Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Texas Tech a 80% chance.
SeriesBaylor leads 42–40–1 · Baylor won the last meeting, 59–35 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TTU
Home-field edge BAY
Model projection TTU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Texas Tech @ Baylor
Your sims:Sims: TTU 0, BAY 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Texas Tech vs Baylor Stats ComparisonTexas Tech vs Baylor Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Texas TechTTU | BaylorBAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 39.4#7 | PPG | 31.1#33 |
| 11.8#3 | PA/G | 32.6#122 |
| 461.6#10 | YDS/G | 451.2#18 |
| 277.6#17 | PASS/G | 309.6#4 |
| 184#31 | RUSH/G | 141.6#83 |
| 6.3#24 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#46 |
| 49.3%#12 | 3RD DOWN | 37.8%#89 |
| 0.25#23 | OFF PPA | 0.19#49 |
| 43.7%#50 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.7%#41 |
| 31.5%#3 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.7%#99 |
| 53.4% | RET PROD | 60.2% |
| 1.32#30 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.28#43 |
| 21.8 | SP+ | 3.8 |
| 20.0#10 | FPI | 6.5#37 |
| +14#4 | TO MARGIN | −13#133 |
| -0.07#2 | DEF PPA | 0.17#82 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
McLane StadiumLocationWaco, TX
Capacity45,140
SurfaceTurf
Opened2014
Elevation384 ft
FAN NEWS
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