The Citadel @ Western Carolina, Week 12 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·StreamingESPN+
WCU radioCatamount Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Western Carolina a 65% chance.
SeriesThe Citadel leads 13–10 · Western Carolina won the last meeting, 45–38 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) WCU
Home-field edge WCU
Model projection WCU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
The Citadel @ Western Carolina
Your sims:Sims: WCU 0, CIT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Western Carolina vs The Citadel Stats ComparisonWCU vs The Citadel Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Western CarolinaWCU | The CitadelCIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.3 | PPG | 28.5 |
| 16.3 | PA/G | 41.5 |
| 278.3 | YDS/G | 375.5 |
| 215.3 | PASS/G | 128 |
| 63 | RUSH/G | 247.5 |
| 6.1 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7 |
| 37.0% | 3RD DOWN | 48.1% |
| +5 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.14 | OFF PPA | 0.18 |
| 0.15 | DEF PPA | 0.29 |
| 39.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 48.2% |
| 41.1% | DEF SUCCESS | 49.6% |
| 1.40 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.09 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
E. J. Whitmire StadiumLocationCullowhee, NC
Capacity13,742
SurfaceTurf
Opened1974
Elevation2,145 ft
FAN NEWS
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