Troy @ South Alabama, Week 11 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDTROY radioTroy Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Troy a 56% chance.
SeriesTroy leads 10–4 · Troy won the last meeting, 31–24 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TROY
Home-field edge USA
Model projection TROY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Troy @ South Alabama
Your sims:Sims: TROY 0, USA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3South Alabama
South Alabama2025: 4–8 (3–5 SBC)
Lat Texas State49–26Wvs Southern Miss42–35Wat UL Monroe26–14South Alabama2025: 4–8 (3–5 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Troy vs South Alabama Stats ComparisonTroy vs USA Stats Comparison
2025 stats| TroyTROY | South AlabamaUSA | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.5#95 | PPG | 26.5#76 |
| 23.9#58 | PA/G | 30.4#110 |
| 307.2#124 | YDS/G | 382.2#75 |
| 209.2#90 | PASS/G | 181.1#114 |
| 98#131 | RUSH/G | 201.2#18 |
| 4.6#129 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 38.8%#80 | 3RD DOWN | 42.6%#39 |
| 0.08#113 | OFF PPA | 0.16#74 |
| 0.11#50 | DEF PPA | 0.24#120 |
| 37.9%#117 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.8%#76 |
| 39.6%#47 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.3%#94 |
| 35.3% | RET PROD | 78.6% |
| 1.30#40 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#98 |
| +0#72 | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| -8.0 | SP+ | -14.6 |
| -7.4#95 | FPI | -10.5#112 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Hancock Whitney StadiumLocationMobile, AL
Capacity25,450
SurfaceTurf
Opened2020
Elevation148 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 11 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
